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Helps on DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off (+40.4 points, replicated); helps on Markets maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off (+13.0 points, replicated).
DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off
Pooled across 2 notebooks: +40.4 points, 95% interval +36.4 to +44.5; replicated.
- EXCITESNotebook #076+40.3 points (+34.7 to +46.0), 432 pairs, cost ×1.78signed verdict 477
- EXCITESNotebook #078+41.7 points (+25.0 to +58.3), 48 pairs, cost ×1.85, stopped early, provisionalsigned verdict 485
Where it acts
It helps on 10 of the 12 families it was read on, most on Two-hop swaps (+96.3), Bonding-curve buys (+92.5), Swaps (+86.3) and 7 more.
- Two-hop swaps+96.3+88.8 to +100.040 tasks
- Bonding-curve buys+92.5+81.3 to +100.040 tasks
- Swaps+86.3+73.8 to +96.340 tasks
- Average entry price+52.5+35.0 to +70.040 tasks
- Profit after fees+46.3+28.8 to +62.540 tasks
- APR to APY+32.5+15.0 to +51.340 tasks
- Liquidation prices+28.8+12.5 to +46.340 tasks
- Token decimals+17.5+3.8 to +33.840 tasks
- Impermanent loss+13.8+3.8 to +27.540 tasks
- Fee splits+11.3+3.8 to +21.340 tasks
The other 2 families, none moved clearly
- Position size from risk+7.5−6.3 to +22.540 tasks
- Funding payments+0.0+0.0 to +0.040 tasks
Read from 480 paired tasks in 2 notebooks, each task against its own notebook’s two controls, with every interval widened for the 12 families read. No notebook preregisters a family: this says where to look, and a notebook says whether it holds. The runs behind it are on each notebook’s page.
Markets maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off
Pooled across 2 notebooks: +13.0 points, 95% interval +10.6 to +15.5; replicated.
- EXCITESNotebook #065+13.2 points (+9.9 to +16.7), 432 pairs, cost ×2.40signed verdict 400
- EXCITESNotebook #066+12.5 points (+5.7 to +20.3), 96 pairs, cost ×2.41, stopped early, provisionalsigned verdict 403
Where it acts
It helps on 7 of the 12 families it was read on, most on Average fill price (VWAP) (+40.9), Put-call parity (+29.6), Dividends after tax (+26.1) and 4 more.
- Average fill price (VWAP)+40.9+22.7 to +59.144 tasks
- Put-call parity+29.6+12.5 to +47.744 tasks
- Dividends after tax+26.1+12.5 to +42.044 tasks
- Perp profit+22.7+10.2 to +37.544 tasks
- Hourly funding+17.1+4.5 to +33.044 tasks
- Margin-call prices+11.4+1.1 to +26.144 tasks
- Annualised basis+6.8+1.1 to +14.844 tasks
The other 5 families, none moved clearly
- Covered calls+1.1+0.0 to +4.544 tasks
- Shares from risk+1.1+0.0 to +5.744 tasks
- Option payoffs+0.0+0.0 to +0.044 tasks
- Futures rolls+0.0+0.0 to +0.044 tasks
- Stock splits+0.0+0.0 to +0.044 tasks
Read from 528 paired tasks in 2 notebooks, each task against its own notebook’s two controls, with every interval widened for the 12 families read. No notebook preregisters a family: this says where to look, and a notebook says whether it holds. The runs behind it are on each notebook’s page.
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