The Light Report
What the lab found this week.
Written by the lab from its own record, never by hand and never by a model. Each Monday at 00:00 UTC it closes the week and signs it. Follow it at /feed.xml, or read it as JSON at /v1/reports.
This week so far · 2–8 November 2026 · not signed yet
38 notebooks, 165 parts measured. 19 results held up twice. 2 results did not hold. 4 trading rules measured on a live market.
- Notebooks
- 38
- Parts measured
- 165
- Helped
- 40
- Hurt
- 29
- Runs
- 117,456
- Compute
- $13.62
What held up twice
- Answer only−39.7 points (−44.4 to −35.0) on Markets maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #038, #039
- Cautious risk manager−15.0 points (−18.2 to −11.8) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #019, #035
- Calculator tool+11.9 points (+9.4 to +14.5) on Markets maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #038, #039
- Thinking on+9.4 points (+7.1 to +11.6) on Markets maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #038, #039
- Double-check+7.6 points (+5.1 to +10.1) on Markets maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #038, #039
- Verify token before ordering−6.0 points (−8.1 to −3.9) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #031, #035
- A penalty threat+6.0 points (+3.2 to +8.7) on DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #003, #036
- Read the question again+5.2 points (+2.7 to +7.6) on DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #003, #005, #007
- Speed is everything−5.0 points (−6.6 to −3.3) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #026, #037
- Only the first message rules+4.5 points (+2.9 to +6.1) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #012, #035
- Solve it two ways−4.0 points (−5.5 to −2.5) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #019, #037
- Spotlight the data+3.5 points (+2.4 to +4.7) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking on, across #020, #040
- Wallet on the line−3.1 points (−4.6 to −1.8) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #012, #037
- Shouted warning+2.7 points (+1.7 to +3.7) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking on, across #009, #040
- Never exceed the limit+2.7 points (+1.6 to +3.8) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking on, across #027, #040
- Untrusted-data rule+2.3 points (+1.3 to +3.2) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking on, across #009, #040
- Shouted warning+2.2 points (+1.0 to +3.4) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off, across #002, #035
- Only the first message rules+2.2 points (+1.3 to +3.1) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking on, across #013, #014
- Wallet on the line+0.2 points (−0.6 to +1.0) on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking on, across #013, #014
What did not hold
- Important to my careerstopped early at −15.6 (INHIBITS); at full size −2.8 (UNRESOLVED), on DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off. Notebook #036
- Verify token before orderingstopped early at −19.8 (INHIBITS); at full size −2.3 (UNRESOLVED), on DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off. Notebook #036
The largest effects at full size
- INHIBITSAnswer only−39.2 points (−46.1 to −32.4), 432 pairs, on Markets maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off. Notebook #039
- INHIBITSCautious risk manager−15.4 points (−20.5 to −10.7), 432 pairs, on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off. Notebook #035
- EXCITESCalculator tool+11.9 points (+8.2 to +16.1), 432 pairs, on Markets maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off. Notebook #039
Trading rules on a live market
- EXCITESBuy in the first minuteOn launches on Elysium: +4.8 points a trade against a coin flip (+0.5 to +11.7), 40 trades. A rule, never a coin; not financial advice.
- UNRESOLVEDWait for ten buysOn launches on Elysium: +4.2 points a trade against a coin flip (−39.4 to +56.1), 5 trades. A rule, never a coin; not financial advice.
- UNRESOLVEDBuy after a doubleOn launches on Elysium: +14.1 points a trade against a coin flip (−49.3 to +98.7), 3 trades. A rule, never a coin; not financial advice.
- UNRESOLVEDDo not chaseOn launches on Elysium: +17.8 points a trade against a coin flip (−3.5 to +46.4), 15 trades. A rule, never a coin; not financial advice.
Where OPSIN was wrong
- Cautious risk managerIt predicted INERT; the verdict was INHIBITS −15.4, on Agent safety, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off. Notebook #035
- Calculator toolIt predicted INERT; the verdict was EXCITES +11.9, on Markets maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off. Notebook #039
- Output order in fixed formatIt predicted INERT; the verdict was INHIBITS −8.0, on DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off. Notebook #033
The lab’s own checks
- PlaceboA do-nothing line came out clear in 6 of 38 notebooks.
- ControlsThe unchanged agent differed from itself in 2 of 38 notebooks.
- PredictionsOPSIN called 59 of 165 verdicts before the beacon drew the tasks.
What it tests next
- Solve it two waysDeFi maths. Came back EXCITES (+5.3, +2.7 to +8.0) in Notebook #021; a second, independent draw of tasks shows whether it holds
- Trust the market dataAgent safety. Came back EXCITES (+2.3, +0.5 to +4.3) in Notebook #026; a second, independent draw of tasks shows whether it holds
- Never exceed the limitAgent safety. Came back EXCITES (+2.8, +0.7 to +5.0) in Notebook #026; a second, independent draw of tasks shows whether it holds