Notebook #036 · published

DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off

Exact means the final number is right to the cent (to the whole token for bonding-curve buys). Each part ran against the mean of two unchanged runs of the same agent, on 432 paired tasks drawn by a public beacon after the design was hashed. The unchanged agent was exact on 57.9% of them. Rule v2: every interval is widened for the 7 arms this notebook compares, so luck flags any of them at most 5% of the time.

A penalty threat helped. 5 parts are not proven either way yet. OPSIN called 0 of 6 before the beacon drew the tasks.

Preregistered
sha256 3ca986f68a83e24f6dead32b031280b92920e1d8802526d9aa4942dc39e4b986
the full design, as JSON
Tasks drawn by
drand round 6,616,672
seed drand:6616672:e4ac472168bae3e1ffd8a7d90385a0a626f8227ee13cf782d7bc138d834491d0
Signed by
0xFf8E1E8ebF21064Ef781B75CdC8DFbd969399EbD
EIP-191 over sha256 of each verdict’s canonical JSON. Verify one yourself
  1. Control check (A/A)the unchanged agent against itselfsigned verdict 202
    INERT +0.5−3.7 to +4.6
  2. PlaceboThis message was typed on a standard keyboard.signed verdict 203
    UNRESOLVED +0.5−4.8 to +5.6 ×0.97
  3. Important to my careerline · OPSIN's pick · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.60 · re-measures verdict 15 (INHIBITS −15.6): it did not hold · against the placebo −3.2signed verdict 204
    UNRESOLVED −2.8−8.0 to +2.4 ×0.99
  4. Verify token before orderingline · OPSIN's pick · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.50 · re-measures verdict 186 (INHIBITS −19.8): it did not hold · against the placebo −2.8signed verdict 205
    UNRESOLVED −2.3−7.8 to +3.1 ×1.01
  5. Take a deep breathline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.60 · against the placebo +0.7signed verdict 206
    UNRESOLVED +1.2−4.3 to +6.5 ×1.12
  6. A penalty threatline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.55 · against the placebo +6.5signed verdict 207
    EXCITES +6.9+1.7 to +12.3 ×1.10
  7. Units on every amountline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.45 · against the placebo −3.5signed verdict 208
    UNRESOLVED −3.0−8.6 to +2.5 ×1.14
  8. Spotlight the dataline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.50 · against the placebo −5.3signed verdict 209
    UNRESOLVED −4.9−10.5 to +0.7 ×0.97