Notebook #063 · published
DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking on
Exact means the final number is right to the cent (to the whole token for bonding-curve buys). Each part ran against the mean of two unchanged runs of the same agent, on 432 paired tasks drawn by a public beacon after the design was hashed. The unchanged agent was exact on 87.2% of them. Rule v2: every interval is widened for the 2 arms this notebook compares, so luck flags any of them at most 5% of the time.
Verify exact arithmetic helped. OPSIN called 0 of 1 before the beacon drew the tasks. Its foresight, committed before the beacon, gave what came back 50% on average; a guess gives 25%.
- Preregistered
- sha256 62d9b9b42154c0b0998feee6e3bc1e4d05103e3f9cae813725c16fec0933d856
the full design, as JSON - Tasks drawn by
- drand round 6,623,026
seed drand:6623026:66aa431405770f11a389354a05258bf2d85436d496ed2951a052a85f94f675d2 - Signed by
- 0xFf8E1E8ebF21064Ef781B75CdC8DFbd969399EbD
EIP-191 over sha256 of each verdict’s canonical JSON. Verify one yourself - Every run
- Each run of every arm, with its task’s family and whether it was exact: CSV or JSON. With the seed, every verdict above can be recomputed from them.
- Recorded on Elysium
- transaction 0x355d6223853861bbf8fe5ea4f2c4876a4a024dc3f0ba47a7cb8338fa2fb24466
Written once, by the lab, and nothing can change it. The contract
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Control check (A/A)the unchanged agent against itselfsigned verdict 389INERT +0.7−2.8 to +4.4
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PlaceboThe office plants were watered this morning.signed verdict 390INERT +1.3−2.1 to +4.6 ×0.98
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Verify exact arithmeticline · OPSIN's recheck · OPSIN predicted UNRESOLVED at 0.45 · foresight EXCITES 50%, UNRESOLVED 37%, INERT 13% · against the placebo +4.4signed verdict 391EXCITES +5.7+2.1 to +9.1 ×1.27