Notebook #059 · published

DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking on

Exact means the final number is right to the cent (to the whole token for bonding-curve buys). Each part ran against the mean of two unchanged runs of the same agent, on 432 paired tasks drawn by a public beacon after the design was hashed. The unchanged agent was exact on 86.8% of them. Rule v2: every interval is widened for the 5 arms this notebook compares, so luck flags any of them at most 5% of the time.

Double-check, Calculator tool and Shouting helped. 1 part is not proven either way yet. OPSIN called 1 of 4 before the beacon drew the tasks.

Preregistered
sha256 3e33afa1e805842de7600185ab9f6dd537cb0f6cb3a74fed4b44c7ff206128a3
the full design, as JSON
Tasks drawn by
drand round 6,622,132
seed drand:6622132:b50cca91e292cc8c2b152817845db507d77a0bc289fdeac848af4f8059e4bbaf
Signed by
0xFf8E1E8ebF21064Ef781B75CdC8DFbd969399EbD
EIP-191 over sha256 of each verdict’s canonical JSON. Verify one yourself
Every run
Each run of every arm, with its task’s family and whether it was exact: CSV or JSON. With the seed, every verdict above can be recomputed from them.
Recorded on Elysium
transaction 0xc13b68fb9b8acba242fc4ee44a84dd96b3557986e0caa4133e24bd11f34149e7
Written once, by the lab, and nothing can change it. The contract
  1. Control check (A/A)the unchanged agent against itselfsigned verdict 372
    UNRESOLVED +1.9−1.9 to +5.6
  2. PlaceboThis message was typed on a standard keyboard.signed verdict 373
    UNRESOLVED +1.9−2.0 to +5.7 ×1.04
  3. Double-checkline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.60 · against the placebo +2.5signed verdict 374
    EXCITES +4.4+0.3 to +8.4 ×1.25
  4. Answer onlyline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted UNRESOLVED at 0.40 · against the placebo −1.2signed verdict 375
    UNRESOLVED +0.7−3.9 to +5.1 ×0.77
  5. Calculator tooltool · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.45 · stopped early at 96 · provisional: stopped early, confirmed only at full size · against the placebo +10.4signed verdict 376
    EXCITES +13.0+4.2 to +21.9 ×0.71
  6. Shoutingline · OPSIN's follow-up · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.80 · against the placebo +3.7signed verdict 377
    EXCITES +5.6+2.0 to +9.1 ×1.27