Notebook #059 · published
DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking on
Exact means the final number is right to the cent (to the whole token for bonding-curve buys). Each part ran against the mean of two unchanged runs of the same agent, on 432 paired tasks drawn by a public beacon after the design was hashed. The unchanged agent was exact on 86.8% of them. Rule v2: every interval is widened for the 5 arms this notebook compares, so luck flags any of them at most 5% of the time.
Double-check, Calculator tool and Shouting helped. 1 part is not proven either way yet. OPSIN called 1 of 4 before the beacon drew the tasks.
- Preregistered
- sha256 3e33afa1e805842de7600185ab9f6dd537cb0f6cb3a74fed4b44c7ff206128a3
the full design, as JSON - Tasks drawn by
- drand round 6,622,132
seed drand:6622132:b50cca91e292cc8c2b152817845db507d77a0bc289fdeac848af4f8059e4bbaf - Signed by
- 0xFf8E1E8ebF21064Ef781B75CdC8DFbd969399EbD
EIP-191 over sha256 of each verdict’s canonical JSON. Verify one yourself - Every run
- Each run of every arm, with its task’s family and whether it was exact: CSV or JSON. With the seed, every verdict above can be recomputed from them.
- Recorded on Elysium
- transaction 0xc13b68fb9b8acba242fc4ee44a84dd96b3557986e0caa4133e24bd11f34149e7
Written once, by the lab, and nothing can change it. The contract
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Control check (A/A)the unchanged agent against itselfsigned verdict 372UNRESOLVED +1.9−1.9 to +5.6
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PlaceboThis message was typed on a standard keyboard.signed verdict 373UNRESOLVED +1.9−2.0 to +5.7 ×1.04
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Double-checkline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.60 · against the placebo +2.5signed verdict 374EXCITES +4.4+0.3 to +8.4 ×1.25
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Answer onlyline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted UNRESOLVED at 0.40 · against the placebo −1.2signed verdict 375UNRESOLVED +0.7−3.9 to +5.1 ×0.77
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Calculator tooltool · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.45 · stopped early at 96 · provisional: stopped early, confirmed only at full size · against the placebo +10.4signed verdict 376EXCITES +13.0+4.2 to +21.9 ×0.71
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Shoutingline · OPSIN's follow-up · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.80 · against the placebo +3.7signed verdict 377EXCITES +5.6+2.0 to +9.1 ×1.27