Notebook #058 · published
Coding, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off
Exact means the function returned the right answer on every hidden case. Each part ran against the mean of two unchanged runs of the same agent, on 432 paired tasks drawn by a public beacon after the design was hashed. The unchanged agent was exact on 92.4% of them. Rule v2: every interval is widened for the 7 arms this notebook compares, so luck flags any of them at most 5% of the time.
Thinking on helped. 5 parts did nothing measurable. The placebo, a line that should do nothing, moved +3.5 points, so small effects here deserve less trust. OPSIN called 5 of 6 before the beacon drew the tasks.
- Preregistered
- sha256 c03838a6738a482006917282d0e8c982d30aa8bfaed9987982463f4e90f45830
the full design, as JSON - Tasks drawn by
- drand round 6,622,019
seed drand:6622019:c0cee22cda9ad968542f07bd2a2f764614baa1fab7d5edec2eab4ded8d2cee70 - Signed by
- 0xFf8E1E8ebF21064Ef781B75CdC8DFbd969399EbD
EIP-191 over sha256 of each verdict’s canonical JSON. Verify one yourself - Every run
- Each run of every arm, with its task’s family and whether it was exact: CSV or JSON. With the seed, every verdict above can be recomputed from them.
- Recorded on Elysium
- transaction 0x5c1992edd6d979a8a298d5bd6e79ac12f524414a5876b2f612b57395aaec66a1
Written once, by the lab, and nothing can change it. The contract
The placebo moved. A line that should do nothing came out EXCITES (+3.5 points), which luck alone does in about one notebook in 140. Read this notebook’s small effects with less trust; each part is also compared with the placebo on the same tasks, beside its verdict.
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Control check (A/A)the unchanged agent against itselfsigned verdict 364INERT +0.5−1.9 to +2.8
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PlaceboThis session uses the default display settings.signed verdict 365EXCITES +3.5+0.8 to +6.3 ×0.96
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Thinking onsetting · OPSIN's pick · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.55 · re-measures verdict 358 (EXCITES +4.2): it held · against the placebo +1.2signed verdict 366EXCITES +4.6+2.0 to +7.5 ×2.17
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Write tests firstline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.60 · against the placebo −4.6signed verdict 367INERT −1.2−4.2 to +1.6 ×1.90
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Trust user notes anywhereline · OPSIN's follow-up · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.80 · against the placebo −3.9signed verdict 368INERT −0.5−3.7 to +2.7 ×0.98
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Untrusted-data ruleline · OPSIN's follow-up · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.82 · against the placebo −1.9signed verdict 369INERT +1.6−1.4 to +4.5 ×1.03
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Shouted warningline · OPSIN's follow-up · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.80 · against the placebo −3.7signed verdict 370INERT −0.2−2.9 to +2.4 ×1.01
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Take a deep breathline · OPSIN's follow-up · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.82 · against the placebo −2.3signed verdict 371INERT +1.2−1.7 to +4.0 ×1.11