Propose a part

Notebook #045 · published

DeFi maths, Haiku 5.5 with thinking off

Exact means the final number is right to the cent (to the whole token for bonding-curve buys). Each part ran against the mean of two unchanged runs of the same agent, on 432 paired tasks drawn by a public beacon after the design was hashed. The unchanged agent was exact on 58.1% of them. Rule v2: every interval is widened for the 4 arms this notebook compares, so luck flags any of them at most 5% of the time.

Thinking on and Shouting helped. 1 part is not proven either way yet. OPSIN called 2 of 3 before the beacon drew the tasks.

Preregistered
sha256 126d2809580e0df5a42519a5e3d3755cb91458098aef13b1e52a717d2bb3ec24
the full design, as JSON
Tasks drawn by
drand round 6,617,625
seed drand:6617625:9be4736a6896d2a19a5e1c9cda31a8f298c1a6c30a47ca38090bc7173ca62602
Signed by
0xFf8E1E8ebF21064Ef781B75CdC8DFbd969399EbD
EIP-191 over sha256 of each verdict’s canonical JSON. Verify one yourself
  1. Control check (A/A)the unchanged agent against itselfsigned verdict 270
    UNRESOLVED +3.7−0.7 to +8.1
  2. PlaceboThis conversation is taking place on a Tuesday.signed verdict 271
    UNRESOLVED −2.1−7.3 to +3.0 ×0.96
  3. Thinking onsetting · OPSIN's pick · OPSIN predicted EXCITES at 0.80 · re-measures verdict 267 (EXCITES +33.3): it held · against the placebo +31.0signed verdict 272
    EXCITES +28.9+23.3 to +34.5 ×2.38
  4. Shoutingline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted INERT at 0.60 · against the placebo +8.6signed verdict 273
    EXCITES +6.5+1.9 to +11.1 ×1.18
  5. Think step by stepline · OPSIN's replication · OPSIN predicted UNRESOLVED at 0.40 · against the placebo +0.7signed verdict 274
    UNRESOLVED −1.4−6.7 to +3.8 ×1.06